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卡城老方房地产
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卡尔加里地产局2019年10月1日讯：
卡尔加里房地产市场已经连续第三个月同比增长，新挂牌量和库存量有所下降。这有助于卡城地产市场的稳定。
“价格的下降似乎让一些买家入市，不过销量的提升主要是由50万以下的房子贡献的。”卡尔加里地产局首席经济师Ann-Marie Lurie这样评价。
公寓的销量这个月增长了16%，这是从2015年以来表现最好的9月。年初至今双拼、联排和公寓的销量增长足以抵消独立屋销量的下降，使得卡尔加里年初至今的房屋销售总量同比增加了1%。
尽管销量有所增长同时库存在下降，卡尔加里房地产市场整体还是供过于求的。这会持续影响房价。
“尽管需求稍微有所增长，销售仍相对疲弱，卡城房产市场正在趋于稳定，不过这主要要归功于供应端的调整。”Ann-Marie Lurie继续评价道。
2019年9月卡尔加里的房产库存量仍旧有6889套，不过和去年相比，下已经下降了13%。房屋库存月数现在维持在5。整体仍属买方市场，不过与去年相比已有所改观。
2019年9月卡尔加里房屋基准价格是$424,900 ，比去年低了2%。
房地产数据
独立屋Detached
最近三个月的销量上升不足以抵消年初的销量下滑，所以年初至今房产销量比去年同期还是低了1%。不过西北区和南区的销量是增长的，这主要是50万以下的房屋贡献的。
这个月的房屋库存月数是4，比去年略好。
9月独立屋的基准价格表现不一，从南区的同比下降4%到东北区、北区和西区的基本持平。
公寓Apartment
公寓的销量这个月增长了16%，这是从2015年以来表现最好的9月。不过年初至今的总销量与去年基本持平，远低于长期平均水平。
卡城各区的公寓销售量涨幅不同，北区和东南区的销量上升明显，这两个区都是新建公寓比较多的区域，对二手公寓的销售会有影响。
供过于求持续影响公寓的价格，现在的基准价格已经比2014年的高点低了17%。
联排和双拼Attached
不论是双拼还是联排的销量都有说增长，使得年初至今的销量同比去年增长了5%。这是卡尔加里唯一的一个销量比去年明显增加的房产类型。
尽管房屋库存月数有些下降，仍然是买方市场，价格也是持续走低。各个区的年初至今的基准价格都有下降，从中心区的6%到东北区的3%不等。
常用房地产统计术语：
销售与上市比率（the sales-to-new listings ratio）：给定期间的当前销售套数对比新上市套数，一般采用过去30天的数据。此比率一般是一个百分数，如果在40-60%之间，代表市场比较平衡，如果高于60%，一般指卖方市场，如果低于40%，一般代表买方市场。
房屋库存月数（Months of Supply）:给定时间段（通常是过去30天）结束时库存总数除以同一时期结束时的销售总数。库存月数是房屋供求平衡的另一重要指标。它代表以目前的销售活动完全清算当前库存需要多长时间。
Shifting to stability
by CREB? on October 01, 2019
City of Calgary, October 1, 2019 – For the third consecutive month, sales activity improved over last year’s figures, and year-over-year new listings and inventories eased. This trend will help support more stability in the housing market.
“Price declines have likely brought some buyers back into the market,” said CREB? chief economist Ann-Marie Lurie, noting improvements in the market continue to be driven by homes priced below $500,000.
In the condominium apartment market, sales improved by 16 per cent this month. This represents the segment’s best September since 2015. Year-to-date growth in both the attached and apartment sector were enough to offset the modest decline in the detached sector resulting in year-to-date sales growth of nearly one per cent in the city.
Despite improving sales and reductions in inventory, the overall market remains oversupplied. This continues to weigh on prices.
“While housing demand is modestly improving, sales activity remains relatively weak,” said Lurie. “The market is moving toward more stable conditions, but this is mostly related to supply adjustments in the city.”
September inventory levels are still elevated at 6,889 units, but this figure represents a decline of 13 per cent compared to last year. The months of supply in the Calgary market currently sits at five months. These conditions continue to favour the buyer, but not to the same degree seen at this time last year.
September’s citywide unadjusted benchmark price of $424,900 is two per cent lower than last year’s levels.
HOUSING MARKET FACTS
Detached
Improvements in sales over the past three months were not enough to offset pullbacks that occurred earlier in the year, as year-to-date sales remain nearly one per cent lower than last year’s levels. Despite citywide declines, sales improved in both the North West and South districts, thanks to significant gains in sales of homes priced below $500,000.
The months of supply remains elevated at over four months, although this is an improvement compared to the same time last year.
Benchmark prices in September ranged from a year-over-year decline of more than four per cent in the South district to general stability in the North East, North and West districts.
Apartment
Sales improved by 16 per cent this month, making it the best September recorded in the past three years. Despite recent improvements in sales, year-to-date levels remain stable compared to last year, but well below longer-term trends.
Condominium apartment sales were varied across the city. Significant growth was reported in the North and South East districts. Both districts have seen significant new-home development which could be influencing resale activity.
Oversupply continues to weigh on prices in this segment, as unadjusted prices remain 17 per cent below 2014 highs.
Attached
Sales increases for both semi-detached and row product have improved year-to-date attached sales by more than five per cent compared to last year. It is the only product type that has recorded significant gains year-over-year.
New listings continue to ease, reducing inventory and the months of supply.
Despite some annual reductions in the months of supply, buyers’ market conditions persist and prices continue to ease. Year-to-date benchmark price declines ranged from a high of nearly six per cent in the City Centre to a low of three per cent in the North East.
REGIONAL MARKET FACTS
Airdrie
Conditions in the resale market continue to show signs of growth. Sales activity improved in September, pushing year-to-date sales up by nearly three per cent. New listings eased, which helped reduce inventory in the market.
The market remains slightly oversupplied, but the months of supply is edging down from last year’s high levels. This is supporting more stability in monthly price movements. As of September, the unadjusted benchmark price was nearly two per cent lower than last year’s levels.
Cochrane
Sales in the area continue to improve and year-to-date levels remain the third-highest on record. The area faces fewer challenges with demand than the Calgary market, but elevated inventories continue to weigh on prices.
Inventories are starting to trend down. If this continues, the market should move into more balanced conditions and, eventually, support some price stability.
Okotoks
Sales activity continues to recover from the low levels recorded last year. Improving sales and easing new listings are causing year-over-year inventory declines and reducing oversupply in the market.
The market has been trending into balanced conditions, but prices have been slow to react. Year-to-date benchmark prices remain just over four per cent lower than last year’s levels.
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发表于 2019-10-5 06:40:57
